ioxer
INDEX OF EXPECTATION · LIVE

From crypto noise
to a calibrated read.

IOX scores every coin by the one factor that survived honest out-of-sample validation — funding crowding — as a calibrated probability with its uncertainty. Not a guaranteed signal.

When IOX says 53%, it lands near 53% — verified out-of-sample.

HOW IT WORKS

Only what survives honest validation.

Most platforms stack dozens of “signals” and still can’t prove an edge. We publish only factors that beat their own out-of-sample test — today that’s funding crowding, with more shown in the open as they pass.

01Measure crowding

We read 7-day funding across every liquid perpetual — how crowded the leverage has become on each coin.

02Calibrate, not guess

The signal is fit on 7 years of out-of-sample history. The output is a probability with its uncertainty — never a confident guess.

03Score and verify

Every coin gets an IOX 0–100 today, and every call is tracked forward in the open.

VALIDATED SIGNALFunding crowding

The one factor that beat its own out-of-sample test.

HONEST OUTPUTProbability + band

Every score ships with the uncertainty around it.

COVERAGE80% out-of-sample

Verdicts checked on data the model never trained on.

NO HYPENegative results too

Factors that failed are shown, not buried.

Ioxer — Calibrated crypto factor research